Mara Gae vs Francesca Curmi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Mara Gae has recently outperformed Francesca Curmi on second serve points, securing 38.22% compared to Curmi's 36.62%. Could this edge affect the match outcome? It potentially could, as it aligns with prediction trends.
• Gae also shows superiority in return game stats, claiming 48.31% of points from opponents' second serves, whereas Curmi manages 45.96%. However, Curmi takes the lead in returning first serves, with 36.45% to Gae's 30.24%.
• Under pressure, Gae is slightly better at saving breakpoints, achieving a 45.54% success rate, compared to Curmi's 42.80%.
• Over the past year, Gae has a match win percentage of 62.86%, while Curmi stands at 57.69%. Does this indicate a consistent performance difference? It suggests a slight advantage for Gae.
• Both players excel on hard surfaces, each posting a 64% win percentage. Gae struggles more on indoor hard courts at 33%, compared to Curmi's weaker performance on clay at 58%.
• Gae's matches largely come from lower-tier Futures/ITF $10K events with a 67.86% win record, whereas Curmi competes at higher-level Challengers/ITF > $10K with a 56.86% win rate.
• Gae's opponents have had a slightly lower average rank (404.63) compared to Curmi's (365.73), affecting the level of competition they've faced.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Gae has won half of these scenarios recently, while Curmi's success rate is 43%.
• In breakpoint conversion, Curmi appears stronger, converting opportunities at 47.79% against Gae's 33.33%.

Editorial Prediction (December 11, 2025, UTC):

In analyzing recent performances, Mara Gae shows slightly better efficiency in critical areas like second serve returns and breakpoint defense. Her overall match-winning percentage slightly surpasses Francesca Curmi, which may suggest greater consistency in her gameplay over the last year.

Their best surface performances are evenly matched on hard courts, yet Gae falters significantly more on indoor hard, whereas Curmi's less favorable surface is clay. This factor will play a vital role as the surface for this upcoming match is considered.

The level of competitions they've faced varies, with Curmi playing against stronger-ranked opponents but at a relatively lower win rate. Conversely, Gae's success at Futures events has honed her skills against slightly weaker competitors.

Considering these factors, despite Curmi's edge in returning first serves and stronger breakpoint conversions, Mara Gae's broader efficiency, and overall performance trends suggest she holds a slight advantage heading into this match. Therefore, Mara Gae is the likely winner in their upcoming tennis encounter.